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Artificial Intelligence Forrester

Artificial Intelligence growth will cost US workforce a net 7% of jobs over next decade


By Stephen Lepitak, -

August 24, 2015 | 3 min read

According to Forrester, 16 per cent of US jobs will be lost in the U.S. over the next decade as the result of the rise of artificial intelligence and technology, although it also believes that 13.6 million jobs will be created during that time due to the trend.

A study by the company has claimed that while there will be large scale job losses as robots and cognitive computing continues to develop, 9 per cent of US workforce will find new jobs as a result of this progress, meaning net job losses of 7 per cent overall.

The Forrester study also claimed that a quarter (25 per cent)or more over every job category within every industry if the U.S. would change with the introduction of robots, for example the medical clinician, by 2019, with technology able to help with diagnosis.

The Future of Jobs, 2025: Working Side by Side with Robots" has been written by J.P Gownder, vice president and principal analyst serving Infrastructure & Operations Professionals for Forrester, who is attempted to dispel the often quoted statistic study from Oxford academics Fry and Osborne that found that almost half (47 per cent) of US jobs would be exposed to job losses from computerisation.

Gownder wrote in a blog about the study; "Cultural anxieties about robots (as seen in the novel Robopocalypse, or the Battlestar Galatica reboot) create an atmosphere in which people readily believe the worst case scenario. But the scariest numbers have the least specific timeframes and outcomes associated with them; even Frey and Osborne write of their estimate that at-risk jobs are merely 'potentially automatable' (emphasis mine) and that their timeframe is 'over some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two.' And aggregate economic productivity numbers don't suggest that automation is moving the needle toward human redundancy."

One such evolution has been the rise of the virtual personal assistant, which many major tech companies including Microsoft and Facebook have been developing.

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